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07/18/2005
MySpace Equals Mo’Money For VCs, Especially VantagePoint
You may have seen the news today that Intermix Media was sold to News Corp. for a cool $580M in cash. Prior to 2004, Intermix’s business consisted of running a collection of largely undistinguished consumer-oriented websites. Intermix (then known as EUniverse) didn’t do a particularly good job of running these sites and was basically a broken stock suffering from earnings restatements, a NASDAQ delisting and executive turnover. However in 2003/2004, one of the websites, MySpace.com started to take-off thanks to the social networking craze.
As I outlined earlier, unlike Friendster and its clones, MySpace took a unique approach to the Social Networking space and concentrated heavily on building a community first (centered around music and bands), and a social network second. The strategy worked and by the beginning of 2005 MySpace was the clear #1 player in the social networking space.
A VC Social Networking Payday … Finally
Well today, MySpace and its VCs were richly rewarded for their success when News Corp plunked down a substantial wad of cash for Intermix. Although Intermix owns other websites, it’s clear that News Corp. paid the high price mainly to get control of MySpace.
For VCs, this sale is significant because it represents the first real payday in the social networking space, a space that to date has seen lots of VC hype but very little returns. Just how big a payday was it for VC’s? Thanks to the fact that Intermix was a public company it’s possible to take very educated guesses at how the VCs made out. There were two main VCs involved in MySpace/Intermix. VantagePoint had been involved with the parent company for some time, while Redpoint recently invested in MySpace itself.
RedPoint: Rapid Happiness With a Tinge of Regret
In terms of Redpoint, according the latest 10-K on file, they made two investments, one in Intermix in 12/04 and one in just MySpace as a separate entity in 2/05. The Intermix investment was $4M and it got Redpoint 1M common shares and another 150,000 warrants at $4/share. At $12/share that would net them $13.2M on a $4M investment or a 3.3X return. They invested a separate $11.5M in MySpace itself which got them a 25% stake (which equates to pre-money valuation of $34.5M) in MySpace. Unfortunately for Redpoint, when they made their investment in MySpace Intermix got them to agree to a provision that Intermix could buy back all the shares of MySpace that it didn’t own at a fixed valuation of $125M if Intermix got a buy-out offer within 12 months of the investment. That is precisely what happened and according to news reports Intermix is exercising its option to repurchase the shares. What this means for Redpoint is that their 25% stake in MySpace (which arguably represents almost all the value in Intermix) will not be worth 25% of $580M ($145M) but rather 25% of $125M or $31.25. That said, this still represents a 2.7X return on their investment in MySpace. Taking its two investments together, Redpoint looks like it will take home $44.45M on $15.5M invested or a 2.9X return. If the deal closes in 3 months this should equate to an IRR of roughly 325%. Despite, missing out on the bigger payday because of the repurchase option, this has to be viewed as a great success for Redpoint, especially because they did the deal right under the nose of VantagePoint and clearly spent a lot of time structuring and selling their way into a deal that on first blush would have looked to be too difficult to put together at all.
VantagePoint: One Man’s Loss Gain Is Another Man’s Gain
For VantagePoint, the sale of Intermix was no doubt a very welcome event as according to the latest proxy statement they own 11.56M common shares (on a converted basis) worth $139M at $12/share. VantagePoint acquired these shares in two major transactions. The first transaction was a rather straightforward purchase of $8M in Series C stock on 10/31/03.
The second investment happened July 2003 and it is less straightforward, but much more interesting. In that investment, VantagePoint purchased an option to buy all of the shares owned by Sony’s now defunct VC Group, 550 Digital Media Ventures. They partially exercised that option in October 2003 and then they fully exercised it in April 2004. What’s most interesting about this transaction is that under the original terms of the option, Sony was entitled to some of the profits on any of the shares that VantagePoint purchased. However when VantagePoint exercised the remainder of its option in April 2004, they also agreed to buy a $2.5M note that Sony held for just $1.8M (handing Sony a $600K loss) provided that Sony gave up its right to a share of the profits on the shares covered by the options. This proved to be an incredibly canny move by VantagePoint especially given the fact that MySpace was growing like a weed in April 04 and the whole social networking space was white hot. Somebody at Sony was clearly asleep at the switch.
The icing on the cake for VantagePoint is that they didn’t even end up risking their own capital on to buy the Sony note, they simply assigned the right to Intermix, who promptly bought the note for $1.8M and realized a $600K gain. So VantagePoint not only got to extinguish Sony’s profit sharing rights for “free”, but they got to hand a public company (which they owned close to 30% of) a gift of $600K.
But that’s not the only canny move by VantagePoint. Indeed the sale to News Corp is very smart move for them because if Intermix had waited another 7 months, then it would have presumably had to pay Redpoint and the other MySpace investors a much higher premium for their shares. So by selling out “early” to News Corp, VantagePoint ended up getting a bigger share of the profits than it might have gotten otherwise.
In terms of an overall return for VantagePoint, according to this Form 4 VantagePoint’s option allowed them to acquire Sony’s shares at $1.10/share, so this means that the Sony shares cost them roughly $5.3M. Add to that the $8M in Series C shares and the $2M in debt that was later converted to shares and you have a total investment of $15.3M and at $12/share a total return of $139M or 9.1X invested capital. Assuming the deal closes in 3 months, the IRR would be around 223%. This doesn’t include the cost of the option on the Sony shares, but I can’t imagine it cost them more than $500K, so it’s probably not that big a deal in the grand scheme of things, who knows maybe they even got it for free.
Between making a gutsy call to invest in a broken deal, the beautiful Sony option deal, the canny timing of the ultimate sale, and, of course, the very impressive returns, the VantagePoint partners on the deal, which look to be David Carlick and Andy Sheehan, deserve a great big “gold star” for VC deal engineering and investing. Bravo!
UPDATE:
I talked with a reporter who had a conversation with Geoff Yang, who did the MySpace deal for Redpoint. Apparently Geoff said that Repoint will ultimately net about 50% more ($65M+) than the $44.25M I estimated thanks to the some special provisions they negotiated for their MySpace preferred stock. Just guessing, but it sounds to me like they were able to get what VC's call a "double participating preferred", which means you get 2X your money back before everyone else and then still get your cut of what's left. An alternative could be that they simply negotiated with Intermix to get a better deal. Either way, it looks like Redpoint got an even better deal than I first estimated which makes their performance on MySpace all the more impressive. Congrats Geoff!
July 18, 2005 in Internet, Venture Capital | Permalink
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Comments
It was a matter of time, as the saying goes.
Media conglomerates have two ways to break into the online social networking market.
Option 1 is to create their own site and build a customer base from scratch.
Never easy and not very cost-effective.
Option 2 is to go out and buy an established player.
News Corp annouced Monday that it'll take option 2.
News Corp. grabbed the wildly popular social-networking site MySpace.com by agreeing to acquire majority shareholder Intermix Media for $580 million in cash.
News Corp. said it would pay $12 per share for Intermix.
News Corp. plans to meshMySpace.com and Intermix's 30 other Websites into its newly formed Fox Interactive Media unit.
The new additions will nearly double News Corp.'s U.S. Web traffic to more than 45 million unique monthly visitors, according to the companies.
Intermix's network of sites had 27 million unique monthly visitors.
I don't know enough about Intermix to argue about whether or not MySpace will be a good fit, but I do know this: MySpace, which enables people to write Web logs and share music, among other social activities, has been giving competitor Friendster (which I prefer, even though I'm still getting used to Friendster's new interface) a run for its money.
MySpace gets more traffic than Friendster, the reason being that MySpace has more features that
Friendster is slowly trying to add unsucessfully.
But I think the edge MySpace has over Friendster is one related to culture.
Here's what I mean.
The culture at MySpace is very youth friendly.
Their popularity is mostly amongst users who eschew Friendster's more upscale design: goth kids, indie rock kids, Tribeca artistes.
You know the type.
If these sites thrive of word-of-mouth advertising, which I think they do, it is clear that MySpace is getting more airtime inside high school hallways and the like.
Hence, MySpace has a bit more of the market.
They have over 19 million registered users.
However, there may be a silver lining in all of this for Friendster.
Benefitting from a sort of "spillover interest" in virtual communities, I wouldn't be surprised to see Friendster go as well.
Posted by: Dan J | Jul 19, 2005 2:15:19 PM
Your blog rocks! Thanks for the insights!
Max
Posted by: Max Niederhofer | Jul 28, 2005 5:47:41 AM
Myspace was already a hit with young people before the band profiles were added--a late addition to Myspace system. I would argue that Myspace is popular for a few reasons.
1. Friendster had serious technology growing pains--they couldn't keep up with the growth and turned many users away years ago--it was even closed down from what I can remember. (Myspace has had the same problems with dropped emails and unresponsive servers, but seems to have improved somewhat.)
2. Myspace has "Tom", the personality behind the website--Friendster by comparison seems more dry and detached.
3. New features always being added--probably thanks to Coldfusion. The "comment" system especially seems to affect growth.
4. Myspace came out just about when free WIFI and laptops became popular.
5. Popularity of camera phones, cheaper webcams and cheaper digital cameras--Myspace is mostly about pictures.
I've written more on the subject at my blog, http://www.knowingart.com/
Posted by: PJ Brunet | Aug 6, 2005 2:34:28 PM
I guess they want a bigger piece of the pie. Rumor has it that myspace is coming out with a better version of there site on another domain name starting march 1st it will be another social networking website with alot more features. I guess to stay ahead of other sites coming out like myspace.com also i heard it will be called www.FriendWise.com i guess well just have to see if this happens.
Posted by: myspace | Feb 12, 2006 6:34:49 PM
If Geoff's revision to RedPoint is true then the MySpace founders got even more screwed!
Posted by: Jonathan Abrams | Feb 24, 2006 1:16:44 PM
So how much did the creators make,tom anderson and chris de wolfe?
Posted by: john | Mar 21, 2006 5:36:14 PM
I'm curious as to whether or not all of these buyings and sellings around myspace means that it, or any of its owners, have gone public? Is there a way through the stock market to try and cash in specifically off of myspace.com? (i.e. such as the huge boom with google.com and other.) I'm new to the whole investment world but the myspace.com is a huge craze and certainly seems to be a great stock to invest in, if that's even possible. so is it possible? or has that time already come and gone?
Posted by: Kyle | Mar 22, 2006 8:31:46 AM
myspace is ao cool!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!lol
Posted by: maria | Jul 20, 2006 10:56:05 AM
Rumor has it that www.friendsnest.com is coming out with a better version august 20th
Posted by: friendsnest | Aug 15, 2006 9:20:33 PM
by the way..... i don't think their customer base was built from scratch. i believe it was built from college information sources. software designed specifically for college use. given to colleges as a test (before purchasing software). this way if the college decides not to use it, it doesn't matter.thence, the college student mailing list.
Posted by: y ikakara | Feb 3, 2007 8:27:23 AM
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